Can Lloyds shares climb higher in 2022?

Lloyds shares have had a successful year, delivering 33% year-to-date returns. Can the shares continue to climb throughout 2022? Dylan Hood investigates.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Lloyds (LSE: LLOY) shares have delivered some solid returns for investors this year. Having seen 33% year-to-date returns, the shares are currently trading at 46p. However, this is still over 25% lower than its pre-pandemic share price. With exciting growth plans in place for the next few years, I think Lloyds stock could see some great growth throughout 2022.

Expansive plans

In August, Charlie Nunn took over leadership of the firm and he’s since announced major growth plans. The new strategy looks to enhance the firm’s stake in property, wealth, and commercial and investment banking. This comes after encouraging third-quarter revenues that beat forecasts by over 50% and have led to the firm sitting on over £4bn in capital.

Nunn has suggested that a portion of this capital might be spent on expanding the budget for Citra Living, Lloyds’ private landlord company. Quadrupling the budget from £250m to £1bn will vastly speed up the process of Lloyds becoming the UK’s largest private landlord. This could be a great move for the firm moving forward.

Lloyds is already the UK’s largest mortgage lender and second-largest credit card provider. Therefore, I think expanding different parts of the business seems smart if the firm wants to expand its domestic market share. In addition to this, plans to expand overseas business have also been considered, with the firm exploring the possibility of opening a New York branch. Such a presence could allow the firm to compete against larger, more international firms such as HSBC.

In addition to this, as my fellow Fool Charlie Keough pointed out, the next Monetary Policy Committee meeting is being held on 16 December. To combat inflation — which has been steadily climbing over the past few months — a hike in interest rates is expected by many investors. If this is the case, Lloyds will be able to charge more on its mortgage loans. This will help build upon the firm’s already strong revenues.

Risks for Lloyds shares

One risk that could continue to plague Lloyds shares’ growth is the Omicron variant. The shares fell by over 7% on 25 November when news broke of the variant. This is because of the threat it poses to the UK economy. If more lockdowns occur, they could seriously hamper the growth of the shares.

In addition to this, although Lloyds is beginning to speed up growth in international business areas, it is still substantially behind some of its competition. Such a heavy domestic focus led the firm to be very closely tied to the UK economy. If the UK economy underperforms, so might Lloyds shares.

And of course, its growth plans come with risk too. Entering the rental sector and possibly opening a New York branch aren’t guaranteed to succeed.

The Verdict

Although Lloyds shares are subject to Omicron threats, for me, the positives outweigh the risks. New leadership and expansive plans seem very encouraging. If these plans come to fruition in 2022, I expect Lloyds shares to climb higher. As such, I would consider adding them to my portfolio going into 2022.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Dylan Hood has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended HSBC Holdings and Lloyds Banking Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Warren Buffett’s stockpiling cash. Is this a warning sign for the UK stock market?

Warren Buffett’s been converting shares into cash. I wonder what the implications are for an investor in the UK stock…

Read more »

Businesswoman calculating finances in an office
Investing Articles

£5,000 in savings? Here’s how I’d begin investing with a Stocks and Shares ISA right now

Here’s how a risk-first approach to investing in a Stocks and Shares ISA could help to deliver decent long-term gains.

Read more »

Smartly dressed middle-aged black gentleman working at his desk
Investing Articles

If I was retiring tomorrow, I’d buy these 2 ultra-high yield FTSE dividend shares today

Harvey Jones is thinking ahead and wondering which dividend shares he would buy to kickstart his retirement income. These two…

Read more »

Bronze bull and bear figurines
Investing Articles

Up 25% in six months, where next for Scottish Mortgage shares?

This investor's relieved to see a positive turnaround in Scottish Mortgage shares in recent months. Could they now power even…

Read more »

Top Stocks

4 stocks Fools love with a long history of increasing dividends

Familiar with REITs? You may want to be after reading this, with two of the four dividend stocks falling under…

Read more »

Young Caucasian woman holding up four fingers
Investing Articles

4 magnificent FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 value shares to consider!

The London stock market is jam-packed with excellent value shares despite the recent bull run. Here are four I think…

Read more »

Young mixed-race woman jumping for joy in a park with confetti falling around her
Investing Articles

8% dividend yield! Buying these UK dividend shares could provide a £1,600 second income

The dividend yields on these UK shares soar above the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 averages. Here's why Royston Wild…

Read more »

Investing Articles

With an 8% dividend yield, I think this cheap FTSE 250 stock could be one not to miss

FTSE 250 stocks include a lot of potential passive income candidates right now, with even more 8%+ yields than the…

Read more »